Day Zero in Gauteng
Starting the week of 16 September 2024, Rand Water imposed Level 1 water restrictions in Gauteng.
In this exclusive Client Note, CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh, looks at the various factors shaping the imminent water crisis in the Gauteng metros.
According to Mr Hattingh Gauteng businesses and residents should brace themselves for at least four years of frequent water outages.
The GNU’s corruption conundrum
How will the African National Congress deal with corrupt leaders within its ranks?
In this exclusive Client Note, analyst Carika Middelberg unpacks how many members of the ANC's National Executive Committee have been implicated in corruption.
According to Ms Middelberg, rooting out corruption will be one of the greatest challenges for the Government of National Unity.
What would a Trump presidency mean for US-African trade?
The presidential election in the United States (US) will take place on 5 November 2024.
In this exclusive Client Note, analyst Hermann Pretorius looks at what a second Donald Trump term could mean for US trade policy towards Africa and South Africa.
Mr Trump’s White House might see Africa-focused, pro-trade initiatives as valuable geopolitical tools worth preserving. But there will be less tolerance for South Africa's pro-Iranian stance.
Biden steps aside
On 21 July, President Joe Biden withdrew from the 2024 United States presidential election.
In this exclusive Client Note, analysts Chris Hattingh and Nicholas Lorimer look at how Mr Biden's decision to step aside will impact the Democratic and Republican election campaigns.
The authors write that the Democrats have an opportunity to reset the election environment, while the Republicans will have to shift their campaign focus.
A milder strike season
The standoff between the National Union of Metalworkers of South Africa and car manufacturer Ford South Africa has come to an end.
In this exclusive Client Note, Researcher Anlu Keeve looks at the factors that could affect South Africa's 'strike season'. Ms Keeve writes that the country can expect fewer labour disruptions in 2024 compared to 2023.
A beefy cabinet
Yesterday, President Cyril Ramaphosa announced the new members of the National Executive for the seventh administration.
In this exclusive Client Note, Chris Hattingh takes a closer look at the size and composition of the new cabinet.
Now that the new government has been formed, attention should be given to the compromises required to formulate policy and to establish governance mechanisms.
MK goes to Parliament
Fifty eight elected representatives of former President Jacob Zuma’s uMkhonto weSizwe (MK) party have been sworn into Parliament.
In this exclusive Client Note, Chris Hattingh looks at the factors that could impact MK's long-term stability.
Mr Zuma’s ability to impose discipline on MK members — many of whom have highly controversial reputations — will be key for the party's sustainability.
The GNU option: ANC plays for time
10 June 2024 - On 6 June, President Cyril Ramaphosa announced the ANC’s National Executive Committee’s decision: the party will invite other parties to form a Government of National Unity (GNU).
In this exclusive Client Note, Chris Hattingh lists the key strengths and weaknesses of the GNU option.
One of the key risks flagged by Mr Hattingh is that the GNU option may prove unstable and short-lived given divergent policy priorities between the many opposition party members.