Ofentse Donald Davhie

Ofentse Donald Davhie is a Research Associate for the Centre for Risk Analysis (CRA), with a focus on political risk and foreign policy. He contributes to the analysis of global developments, supporting the CRA’s mission to provide strategic insights to clients. With a keen interest in geopolitics, Ofentse applies his expertise in foreign policy analysis to assess global trends and their implications for South Africa.

Utilising his skills in qualitative and quantitative research, he assists in developing research projects to inform the CRA’s publications and client reports. Ofentse enhances the CRA’s data-driven approach to risk analysis through his expertise in data analysis and research methodologies. He holds an Honours in International Studies and a BA in Humanities with majors in Political Science and Sociology, both from Stellenbosch University.

Coalition problem is numbers still buy everything

Ofentse Donald Davhie

12 May, 2026

Rebone Tau argues (“Germany’s coalition model offers lessons for SA stability”, May 8) that South Africa’s coalitions collapse because the agreements behind them are thin, vague and negotiated behind closed doors.

Coalition problem is numbers still buy everything

SA’s xenophobia problem has become a trade problem

Ofentse Donald Davhie

12 May, 2026

Violence prompts Nigeria, Ghana and Mozambique to lodge diplomatic protests

SA’s xenophobia problem has become a trade problem

Setting tripwires to prepare for political risks

Ofentse Donald Davhie

11 May, 2026

How chokepoints like Hormuz expose gaps in corporate risk readiness

Setting tripwires to prepare for political risks

The next chokepoint, the next conflict

Ofentse Donald Davhie

01 May, 2026

Modern power is not just about armies; it is about controlling bottlenecks, as we have seen with the war between the United States (US), Israel, and Iran. When the Strait of Hormuz first closed, the world felt it immediately through fuel prices, freight costs, and the quiet panic of logistics departments at companies that had never once thought about Iranian foreign policy.

The next chokepoint, the next conflict

To Washington - Thage first, Meyer later

Ofentse Donald Davhie

16 April, 2026

Road from presidential preference to functioning ambassador in Washington will be a long political journey

To Washington - Thage first, Meyer later

Markets are overly optimistic about a volatile ceasefire

Ofentse Donald Davhie

13 April, 2026

After 38 days of war and an oil price that had climbed roughly a third above preconflict levels, markets were primed for any good news. The announced ceasefire thus understandably triggered a relief rally on the JSE on Wednesday (“Iran ceasefire triggers JSE buying spree”, April 9). However, the scale of the bounce reflects a degree of optimism that is not warranted by the terms of the ceasefire.

Markets are overly optimistic about a volatile ceasefire

China, Russia veto a Strait of Hormuz resolution

Newzroom Afrika

07 April, 2026

China and Russia have vetoed a Bahraini resolution aimed at protecting and coordinating commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, amid escalating global tensions.

China, Russia veto a Strait of Hormuz resolution

There is more to diplomacy than this

Ofentse Donald Davhie

01 April, 2026

US ambassador L Brent Bozell III’s article, published a day before the Sixth South Africa Investment Conference, was a welcome reminder that the South Africa-US relationship is far more layered than the political disputes of the past year might suggest (“The art of the possible”, March 30).

There is more to diplomacy than this