Ofentse Donald Davhie

Ofentse Donald Davhie is a Research Associate for the Centre for Risk Analysis (CRA), with a focus on political risk and foreign policy. He contributes to the analysis of global developments, supporting the CRA’s mission to provide strategic insights to clients. With a keen interest in geopolitics, Ofentse applies his expertise in foreign policy analysis to assess global trends and their implications for South Africa.

Utilising his skills in qualitative and quantitative research, he assists in developing research projects to inform the CRA’s publications and client reports. Ofentse enhances the CRA’s data-driven approach to risk analysis through his expertise in data analysis and research methodologies. He holds an Honours in International Studies and a BA in Humanities with majors in Political Science and Sociology, both from Stellenbosch University.

Response to Gulf crisis puts South Africans at risk

Ofentse Donald Davhie

06 March, 2026

Country’s tolerance for uncertainty in citizen protection abroad is dangerously undefined

Response to Gulf crisis puts South Africans at risk

US political risk for South Africa persists despite Congress gridlock

Ofentse Donald Davhie

22 February, 2026

US extraterritorial reach is emerging as a major political risk for South Africa in 2026 and beyond, with potential to influence government policy and commercial operations through sanctions, trade restrictions or bilateral reviews. South African stakeholders should remain vigilant.

US political risk for South Africa persists despite Congress gridlock

Silencing the Guns? SA’s leadership amid persistent fire

Ofentse Donald Davhie

21 February, 2026

While the 39th Ordinary Session of the African Union (AU) Assembly met in Addis Ababa on 14-15 February 2026 under the banner of “Assuring Sustainable Water Availability and Safe Sanitation Systems to Achieve the Goals of Agenda 2063,” President Cyril Ramaphosa faced a bitter irony at home amid Johannesburg’s acute water shortages, and days earlier in his State of the Nation Address, the announcement that the South African National Defence Force would deploy alongside police against gang violence and illegal mining in the Western Cape and Gauteng.

Silencing the Guns? SA’s leadership amid persistent fire

Agoa uncertainty harms wine sector

Ofentse Donald Davhie

18 February, 2026

America’s imposition of tariffs on wine exports highlights the mounting pressure facing the industry (“US tariffs squeeze South African wine exports as costs surge”, February 17). More importantly, it raises the broader issue of the absence of a durable trade framework between South Africa and the US.

Agoa uncertainty harms wine sector

Trump without a mandate, but not without power

Ofentse Donald Davhie

30 January, 2026

United States President Donald Trump returned to the White House in January 2025 after one of the narrowest victories in US history, the sixth-closest presidential contest.

Trump without a mandate, but not without power

ANC’s Iran posture is undermining SA’s national interests

Ofentse Donald Davhie

22 January, 2026

South Africa’s foreign policy decision-making is increasingly becoming a reputational risk for the country, particularly its relationship with the Islamic Republic of Iran.

ANC’s Iran posture is undermining SA’s national interests

Politics behind BAT plant closure

Ofentse Donald Davhie

20 January, 2026

Political inaction fuels business instability

Politics behind BAT plant closure

Why criticism of SA’s G20 presidency misses the real problem

Ofentse Donald Davhie

21 November, 2025

South Africa is not responsible for the G20’s sprawl. It is hosting when years of accumulated commitments reach their final stop in the rotation. The criticism may be fair, but it is misdirected, writes Ofentse Donald Davhie.

Why criticism of SA’s G20 presidency misses the real problem