April 2019

<p>The April edition - ‘Elections Preview’ - looks into past general elections as well as the upcoming general election scheduled for 8th May.</p>
<p>CRA polling suggests that African National Congress (ANC) representation in Parliament will drop substantially below the 60% mark for the first time, while the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) are likely to see an increase in representation from 6% to +/-11%. The Democratic Alliance (DA) appears to have plateaued at +/-24%.</p>
<p>CRA data also projects a drop for the ANC from 55% to 42% of votes cast on the provincial ballot in Gauteng, with the DA flatlining at 32%. The least racially diverse party, the EFF, looks set to climb from 11% to around 18%, which would make Gauteng the EFF’s strongest province.</p>
<p>Key risks: Voter apathy decreases the legitimacy of the Government, and the Rule of Law; populism rises in an attempt to appease the disaffected; Gauteng coalition politics are unstable; internal party structures remain unchanged despite popular disillusionment.</p>
<p>The Fast Stats pages, with financial and other statistics, are included.</p>
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