No. 2 Vol. 1 2nd Quarter 2018

This edition serves as a scene-setter for the forthcoming 2019 national and provincial elections.

On Tuesday 19 June, Independent Electoral Commission chairperson Glen Mashinini told Parliament’s select committee on social services that the elections were likely to be held between May and August 2019. That leaves political parties with between eleven and fourteen months to campaign. The ANC, DA and EFF have thus already put their respective party machinery into gear.

An analysis of previous voting trends and patterns illustrates where the partys’ strengths and weaknesses lie and will go some way towards determining their fortunes in a year’s time, and, in turn, identifying on which provinces and potential markets each party will focus.