Risk Alert

10 August 2020 - In this week's Risk Alert, Dr Frans Cronje discusses rumours of the departure of South Africa’s finance minister, Tito Mboweni. Risk Alert | Will Tito Mboweni deliver another Budget speech?

This week, Dr Frans Cronje argues that Covid-19 infections have already peaked in South Africa, which could herald rapid economic and social reopening into the spring. Risk Alert | Has SA reached its Covid-19 peak?

27 July 2020 − This week, Dr Frans Cronje discusses the policy and ideological significance of soon-to-be-announced IMF funding for South Africa in the midst of the country’s growing fiscal crisis and governance failures. Risk Alert | Can IMF funding lead to policy reform?

20 July 2020 - This week, Dr Frans Cronje discusses the results of a recent survey which revealed that an estimated 3 million jobs may have been lost as a consequence of the lockdown. Risk Alert | SA jobs bloodbath and four risks for the global economy

13 July 2020 - This week, Dr Frans Cronje highlights three policy papers which entered the public domain last week from within the government and the ANC. Neither paper puts forward anything by way of substantive structural reform, he argues. Risk Alert | ANC policy papers show little sign of reform

6 July 2020 - This week, CRA analyst Bheki Mahlobo discusses South Africa’s chronically underperforming economy. Risk Alert | SA GDP contracts for third consecutive quarter… and counting