In this paper we seek to estimate the likely trajectory of the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 and the disease it causes – Covid-19 – on the world and South Africa.

Specifically, we seek to address how long the pandemic will last, what its effects on people and their health will be, what its economic ramifications will be, and what it will take for South Africa to successfully endure the pandemic.

This is to guide decision makers as to the likely trajectory of the virus and allow them to test the robustness of the strategies they have put in place to mitigate the effects of the virus.

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