Risk Alert

Risk Alert (Week of 11 May 2020)

Risk Alert (Week of 11 May 2020)

This week, Dr Frans Cronje considers tensions between the United States and China, and the prospects for both economies in a post-Covid-19 global recovery.
Risk Alert (Week of 4 May 2020)

Risk Alert (Week of 4 May 2020)

This week, Bheki Mahlobo argues that the move from Stage 5 to Stage 4 lockdown represents a political response to public frustration at the lockdown, rather than a substantive change in policy.
Risk Alert (Week of 27 April)

Risk Alert (Week of 27 April)

CRA Research Assistant, Bheki Mahlobo argues that this week’s expected move from phase 5 to phase 4 of the South African lockdown may do relatively little to restore much by way of domestic economic activity.
Risk Alert (Week of 20 April)

Risk Alert (Week of 20 April)

This week, Dr Frans Cronje considers the proposal by the European Commission to reopen the economies of Europe, and contrasts this with the recent tightening of restrictions in Japan.
Risk Alert (Week of 13 April 2020)

Risk Alert (Week of 13 April 2020)

This week, Dr Frans Cronje identifies the ideological and political contestation within the Tripartite Alliance as a major risk complicating South Africa’s response to the Covid-19 crisis and the recovery thereafter.
Risk Alert (Week of 6 April 2020)

Risk Alert (Week of 6 April 2020)

This week, Dr Frans Cronje argues that despite the economic and market disruption, the worst case global scenarios for Covid-19 might be dissipating.
Risk Alert (Week of 30 March)

Risk Alert (Week of 30 March)

In this week’s alert, Dr Frans Cronje warns that the SA response to the Covid-19 pandemic may not be as effective as in other countries, especially as poorer communities struggle to adhere to isolation protocols.
Risk Alert (Week of 23 March 2020)

Risk Alert (Week of 23 March 2020)

This week, Dr Frans Cronje assesses the SA government's capacity to respond to the rapidly unfolding Covid-19 crisis.
Risk Alert (Week of 16 March 2020)

Risk Alert (Week of 16 March 2020)

After the tumultuous events of last week, Dr Frans Cronje unpacks the ongoing fallout from the COVID-19 crisis and the consequent shocks in global financial markets.
Risk Alert (Week of 9 March 2020)

Risk Alert (Week of 9 March 2020)

This week, Dr Frans Cronje discusses the US general elections, and the impact of the coronavirus outbreak on Chinese manufacturing output.
Risk Alert (Week of 2 March 2020)

Risk Alert (Week of 2 March 2020)

In his Risk Alert for the week of 2nd March, Dr Frans Cronje analyses three risks emerging out of last week’s Budget speech. Dr Cronje also assesses the uncertainty surrounding the global coronavirus outbreak, as well as the causes of the recent strengthening of the US dollar.
Risk Alert (Week of 24 Feb 2020)

Risk Alert (Week of 24 Feb 2020)

This week, CRA Director, Dr Frans Cronje discusses trends in the global economy and likely consequences for SA.
Risk Alert (Week of 17 Feb 2020)

Risk Alert (Week of 17 Feb 2020)

This week’s Risk Alert highlights the risks associated with the United States’ ongoing review of its trade relationship with South Africa.
Risk Alert (Week of 10 Feb 2020)

Risk Alert (Week of 10 Feb 2020)

This week’s Risk Alert focuses on the ongoing electricity supply shortfall, and the resulting constraints on SA’s economic growth.
Risk Alert (Week of 3 Feb 2020)

Risk Alert (Week of 3 Feb 2020)

The CRA has launched a weekly Risk Alert service. In this first alert, CRA Director, Frans Cronje, discusses Mr Ramaphosa’s current vulnerability, the prospects for reform in the ANC and the significance of the recent bailout of SAA.