Risk Alert

This week, Dr Frans Cronje considers tensions between the United States and China, and the prospects for both economies in a post-Covid-19 global recovery.

This week, Bheki Mahlobo argues that the move from Stage 5 to Stage 4 lockdown represents a political response to public frustration at the lockdown, rather than a substantive change in policy.

CRA Research Assistant, Bheki Mahlobo argues that this week’s expected move from phase 5 to phase 4 of the South African lockdown may do relatively little to restore much by way of domestic economic activity.

This week, Dr Frans Cronje considers the proposal by the European Commission to reopen the economies of Europe, and contrasts this with the recent tightening of restrictions in Japan.

This week, Dr Frans Cronje identifies the ideological and political contestation within the Tripartite Alliance as a major risk complicating South Africa’s response to the Covid-19 crisis and the recovery thereafter.

This week, Dr Frans Cronje argues that despite the economic and market disruption, the worst case global scenarios for Covid-19 might be dissipating.

In this week’s alert, Dr Frans Cronje warns that the SA response to the Covid-19 pandemic may not be as effective as in other countries, especially as poorer communities struggle to adhere to isolation protocols.

This week, Dr Frans Cronje assesses the SA government's capacity to respond to the rapidly unfolding Covid-19 crisis.

After the tumultuous events of last week, Dr Frans Cronje unpacks the ongoing fallout from the COVID-19 crisis and the consequent shocks in global financial markets.

This week, Dr Frans Cronje discusses the US general elections, and the impact of the coronavirus outbreak on Chinese manufacturing output.

In his Risk Alert for the week of 2nd March, Dr Frans Cronje analyses three risks emerging out of last week’s Budget speech. Dr Cronje also assesses the uncertainty surrounding the global coronavirus outbreak, as well as the causes of the recent strengthening of the US dollar.

This week, CRA Director, Dr Frans Cronje discusses trends in the global economy and likely consequences for SA.

This week’s Risk Alert highlights the risks associated with the United States’ ongoing review of its trade relationship with South Africa.

This week’s Risk Alert focuses on the ongoing electricity supply shortfall, and the resulting constraints on SA’s economic growth.

The CRA has launched a weekly Risk Alert service. In this first alert, CRA Director, Frans Cronje, discusses Mr Ramaphosa’s current vulnerability, the prospects for reform in the ANC and the significance of the recent bailout of SAA.