Will the ANC give up power peacefully?
24 July 2023 - In this exclusive CRA Client Note, Marius Roodt of the IRR explores the ANC's prospects in the 2024 national election, and how the party may respond, should it lose its national majority.
Mr. Roodt argues that even if the ANC did give up power, it is likely that the party would move to undermine the new government in numerous ways.
Russia – the Prigozhin Rebellion
30 June 2023 - Last Friday, Wagner forces briefly rebelled against Moscow, threatening stability in Russia. In this exclusive Client Note, CRA Director John Endres unpacks what the 'Prigozhin rebellion' could mean for Russian President Vladimir Putin, as well as the Russia-Ukraine war.
Dr. Endres argues that a key variable to watch will be the emergence of further challenges to Mr. Putin.
National Health Insurance Update
28 June 2023 - On 13th June, the National Assembly passed the National Health Insurance (NHI) Bill. In this exclusive Client Note, Head of Policy Analysis at the CRA Chris Hattingh provides an overview of the NHI Bill, as well as a timeline to its implementation.
Mr. Hattingh argues that the NHI will exacerbate corruption in the public sector and that it is unlikely to fix any of the problems that afflict both the public and private sectors.
Gaming a grid collapse
26 May 2023 - In this exclusive Client Note, CRA Director John Endres and CRA Head of Policy Analysis Chris Hattingh discusses how South Africa's electricity crisis could deepen, and assesses the likelihood of a grid collapse.
SA likely to lose AGOA access
12 May 2023 - Head of Policy Analysis at the CRA, Chris Hattingh, discusses how South Africa's perceived support for Russia, could harm the country's relationship with the United States, and put the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) agreement in jeopardy.
South Africa's greylisting - what does it mean and what happens next?
28 February 2022 - Director of the CRA, John Endres, and CRA analyst, Makone Maja, discuss the implications of South Africa being greylisted, and the government's commitment to getting the country off the grey list.
SONA: State of dysfunction
14 February 2023 - Head of Policy Analysis, Chris Hattingh, describes the real state of the nation as one that is radically different from the experiences of the ruling party elite.
No plan to fix education
27 January 2023 - Deputy Head of Reseach, Gerbrandt van Heerden, unpacks South Africa's real matric pass rate, and the underlying issues facing public schools.