Panel discussion with the head of international relations for the Solidarity Movement, Jaco Kleynhans, and a senior policy analyst at the centre for risk analysis, Chris Hattingh about emigration and the effect thereof on the country and its economy.
In this week's newsletter from the Centre For Risk Analysis, we look at the government's proposed water licensing rules and their impact on the commercial agricultural sector.
Zondo has seen no changes to protect the country from rampant corruption.
Over the past ten years, South Africa’s institutional maternal mortality ratio (IMMR) has declined.
President Cyril Ramaphosa and Parliament pulled a fast one on us; twice, if you consider the investigation into alleged corruption at Eskom.
South Africa may be punished for its non-aligned stance on the war in Ukraine. A bipartisan group of 4 US lawmakers see the stance as support for Russia. They have since asked Secretary of State, Antony Blinken, to move the AGOA summit from the country. AGOA allows for duty-free exports from Sub-Saharan Africa to the economic giant. We get more on this from Chris Hattingh from the Centre for Risk Analysis.
Taking the Agoa Forum from SA can be seen as a first rung on a ladder of options that will escalate in terms of severity for the economy.
In a nation that is working to advance and develop, it is depressing to realise that a significant portion of South African homes still do not have access to adequate sanitary facilities.
Business should not be afraid to walk away from partnership.
The numbers are in and they do not look pretty. South Africa’s ports plumb the depths of the World Bank and S&P Global Market Intelligence’s 2022 Container Port Performance Index (CPPI), reveals Chris Hattingh.
The very basics of trade infrastructure need to function correctly if South Africa and indeed the Africa Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) are to succeed.
A Reserve Bank report points to the possibility of SA’s ‘neutral’ stance on the Russian invasion of Ukraine being ‘perceived as unconvincing
eNCA discusses the risk of a nationwide blackout with Chris Hattingh from the Centre for Risk Analysis.
A commitment to fixing at least some of the basics would put SA on the path towards improving appetite and desire to invest in the sector.
When Eskom warned in 2007 about the end of the electricity surplus, the state delayed building necessary infrastructure and the state banked on the private sector. Mantashe blames the private sector for not ‘taking interest'.
The ANC remains committed to ideas and policies that will further extend the mixing of state with party.
The Presidency says US allegations that South Africa supplied weapons to Russia is concerning. Ambassador Reuben Brigety says there is proof a Russian ship docked in Simon's Town left with ammunition. For more, we are joined by Chris Hattingh, from the Centre for Risk Analysis.
A lack of road expansion will result in congestion and limited mobility, translating into serious costs for the economy.
Having said that, it is paramount to understand that while there is an urgent need for reform in South Africa's public health system, the NHI's primary goal is not to enhance healthcare, but rather to extend state control over all aspects of healthcare to a minute level.
Since the beginning of 2023, there has been only a single 24-hour period free of rolling blackouts in South Africa,” wrote CRA director Chris Hattingh. “Eskom’s latest energy outlook [up to March 20] suggests this is likely to continue, with the state electricity company being unable to meet the demand for electricity during any week through to at least March 2024.
The Head of Policy Analysis at the Centre for Risk Analysis Chris Hattingh told BizNews that South Africa was playing with fire and says buzzwords like non-alignment and neutrality might not be enough for Western nations to continue giving South Africa access to their markets through agreements like the Africa Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA).
In this week's newsletter from the Centre For Risk Analysis, we look at the current state of healthcare in South Africa.
SA could pursue state support for certain industries or goods on a carefully considered and precise basis.
Centre For Risk Analysis analyst, Gerbrandt van Heerden expands on the failures of affirmative action policies in Malaysia, and warns of the possibility of similar consequences in South Africa.
SA’s risk premium has increased exponentially over the last few years. The government’s preference for control was most recently concretised in the signing into law of the Employment Equity Amendment Bill, indicating a preference for even more state power over the economy and society.
His sentiments were echoed by Centre for Risk Analysis policy analyst Chris Hattingh, who said that while a total grid collapse was improbable, it was not impossible. He said the effects of load shedding had already been devastating.
The state has fumbled South Africa’s crises, Hattingh said, citing its decision to roll back a national state of disaster declared in response to the electricity crisis “with nothing to show for it,” as well as plans to temporarily exempt Eskom from disclosing irregular, fruitless and wasteful expenditure.
Eskom and Transnet exemptions have more to do with influence and cadre deployment than solving a crisis.
Uganda’s anti-LGBTQ Bill condemned.
Couched in the language of revolution, the EFF must rely on events such as ‘national shutdowns’ to both test the general national mood of political change, and to try and figure out where its own support levels lie.
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![[Letter] Zondo’s state capture assessment is correct](https://cra-sa.com/media/letter-zondos-state-capture-assessment-is-correct/@@images/c6b97be6-dcc7-4b5e-9c02-a97f553d31c2.jpeg "[Letter] Zondo’s state capture assessment is correct")
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![[Letter] SA should be very worried about US Congress’s Agoa letter](https://cra-sa.com/media/letter-sa-should-be-very-worried-about-us-congresss-agoa-letter/@@images/c7487601-02ec-401c-a903-a7f7d7991334.jpeg "[Letter] SA should be very worried about US Congress’s Agoa letter")
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![[Letter] Crises are a result of state policies](https://cra-sa.com/media/letter-crises-are-a-result-of-state-policies/@@images/24fdcb9b-46eb-42ca-8ba3-0ef75fe9edcc.jpeg "[Letter] Crises are a result of state policies")
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![[Letter] SA should at least practise its nonalignment preaching](https://cra-sa.com/media/letter-sa-should-at-least-practise-its-nonalignment-preaching/@@images/b4abff11-07ae-4fab-b144-eb3f8881eb3c.jpeg "[Letter] SA should at least practise its nonalignment preaching")
![[Video] Threat of national electricity grid collapse](https://cra-sa.com/media/video-threat-of-national-electricity-grid-collapse/@@images/4a3fa842-41f1-495c-8253-befbbeb7d33f.jpeg "[Video] Threat of national electricity grid collapse")
![[Opinion] The sorry state of SA’s mining policy can’t be turned around overnight](https://cra-sa.com/media/opinion-the-sorry-state-of-sas-mining-policy-cant-be-turned-around-overnight/@@images/72c95fc8-be00-4de6-8f32-678ed2479102.jpeg "[Opinion] The sorry state of SA’s mining policy can’t be turned around overnight")
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![[LETTER] Believing the incentives that led to state capture won’t be abused again is naïve](https://cra-sa.com/media/letter-believing-the-incentives-that-led-to-state-capture-wont-be-abused-again-is-naive/@@images/bc5c1948-5b36-4dc7-ae7d-9a69bd78baf7.png "[LETTER] Believing the incentives that led to state capture won’t be abused again is naïve")
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![[Opinion] ROB ROSE: Smart money braces for stage 8](https://cra-sa.com/media/opinion-rob-rose-smart-money-braces-for-stage-8/@@images/2ce4c65f-692d-4106-846b-ab40505cb529.jpeg "[Opinion] ROB ROSE: Smart money braces for stage 8")
![[Video] SA is playing with fire and putting relations with Western nations at risk – Chris Hattingh of CRA](https://cra-sa.com/media/video-sa-is-playing-with-fire-and-putting-relations-with-western-nations-at-risk-2013-chris-hattingh-of-cra/@@images/4c242c0f-424c-42bc-a4c5-e47ab94c8b60.jpeg "[Video] SA is playing with fire and putting relations with Western nations at risk – Chris Hattingh of CRA")
![[Letter] LETTER: Time to cut import tariffs](https://cra-sa.com/media/letter-letter-time-to-cut-import-tariffs/@@images/622c0ff3-f9bf-4605-b66d-4bfd79334418.jpeg "[Letter] LETTER: Time to cut import tariffs")
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