News

[Opinion] Where is the recovery?

In reality, South Africa has not experienced a major recovery and not made much progress in instituting the reforms that would make this possible.

[Opinion] SA no longer has a free economy

South Africa continues to slide down rankings of economic freedom, with the country’s overall score now at a record low.

[News] Russia-Ukraine conflict could see steep fuel and food prices increases, SA economists warn

Economist, and senior analyst at the Centre for Risk Analysis, Bheki Mahlobo said three key factors to track are energy prices, global supply chain pressures, and food prices.

[Opinion] What South Africa could learn from California

There are few similarities between the US state of California and South Africa, but one thing these territories have in common is their hostility to business.

[Opinion] Declining living standards: Pandemic or Policy?

Covid-19 may have had a considerable impact on livelihoods and income levels in South Africa, but it is not the sole culprit for the decline in living standards.

[Podcast] Mediocre Leadership

Gareth and Phumi are joined by Assistant Editor for Breaking News at News24, Sheldon Morais, and the new CEO of the Institute of Race Relations (IRR), John Endres. They have a discussion about the State Capture report, the global inflation and interest rate environment, and Cyril Ramphosa being a mediocre president.

[News] SA ‘at risk of becoming a failed state’ – due to these FIVE factors

Yet another set of experts have flagged our current political situation – and the threat of South Africa becoming a failed state looms large.

[News] Economists decry interest rate increase: 'It’s always the poor who bear the brunt'

Economists and business warned that the latest increase by the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) would have dire consequences for consumers who were already struggling with high petrol, electricity and grocery prices..

[Opinion] Sweeping school drop-out rates under the rug

Although the matric results of 2021 show that the overwhelming majority of learners have passed, the figures conceal a low pupil retention rate.

[News] Newly-matriculated class face employment woes for the year ahead

Economist, and senior analyst at the Centre for Risk Analysis, Bheki Mahlobo, said that unfortunately the country's educational system did not properly equip many young South Africans with the skills needed to be absorbed in the labour market.

[Opinion] Risks – and opportunities – for SA in 2022

22 January 2022 - What does 2022 hold for South Africa? We continue to consider the country to be in an exceptionally fragile state both politically and economically.

[Opinion] Education in South Africa: No bang for our buck

16 January 2022 - “When it comes to questions around SA’s education system, it is not a matter of availability of money and how much is spent. Rather, it is about the management and proper allocation of available resources.”

[Opinion] ANC’s hegemony is over: a new era has begun

Coalition politics are set to become the norm and the share of the vote of the African National Congress (ANC) in the 2024 national and provincial elections will remain below 50%.

[Opinion] Numsa strike unjustified as rise in steel price will hit manufacturers

Not all enterprises are able to pass the increases on to consumers.

[Opinion] Upcoming local elections and democracy in South Africa

17 September 2021 - The long list of problems in South Africa, including poverty, corruption and inequality, may hold the voters back from participating in the upcoming elections.

[Audio] Why there is no necessary reform

David Ansara, Chief Operating Officer of the CRA, was interviewed by Sara Gon on Chai FM about the reasons for the lack of policy reform in South Africa.

[Podcast] Risk and having a Plan B

My guest, David Ansara from the "Solutions with David Ansara" podcast, is the Chief Operating Office of the Centre for Risk Analysis.

[News] ‘Pink Vote’ an untapped market for SA political parties

“Gerbrandt van Heerden, the author of The SA Pink Vote report, said if political parties continued to ignore the LGBTQ voting bloc during elections, they risked missing out on an active, dynamic and electorally valuable market.”

[Opinion] The Economics Underpinning South Africa’s Riots

It has been labelled as South Africa’s worst episode of civil unrest since the days of apartheid. The rioting that occurred following the imprisonment of former President Jacob Zuma for contempt of court on July 7—specifically, for failing to show up for an official inquiry into his alleged corruption during his nine-year presidency—has been among the darkest chapters in the country’s recent history.

[Opinion] Foreign workers contribute to South Africa’s economy

Beyond the most recent attacks on South African trucks in the violence and looting along key routes between KwaZulu-Natal and Gauteng is a longer story of an industry embattled by criminality, and of a transport sector that has long been prone to xenophobic violence.

[News] South Africa Seen Risking More Frequent Unrest Without Reforms

Data shows there is a strong correlation between economic growth and social stability, and rioting and looting could become more prevalent in the next few years unless the authorities are serious about implementing reforms.

[Audio] State of Emergency for SA? (SAfm)

Acting Minister in the Presidency Khumbudzo Ntshavheni says a total of 5000 members of the SANDF and other law enforcement agencies will be deployed in different provinces across the country. David Ansara, Chief Operating Officer at the Centre For Risk Analysis shares the risks of the current violent and politically charged environment and the trends likely to come...

[News] #SAShutdown triggered by #ZumaArrest but not the reason

The #ShutdownSA protests sparked by the imprisonment of former president Jacob Zuma are ongoing. Minister of police, Bheki Cele assured South Africans the protest action will be contained. President Cyril Ramaphosa confirmed the South African Defence Force (SADF)’s deployment to hot spots in Kwazulu-Natal and Gauteng. The Daily Vox spoke to analysts who weighed in on questions around the current protests.

[Opinion] Violent anarchy: just what we’ve been warning SA to expect - Frans Cronje

‘Very high levels of economic exclusion, failing schools, unchecked corruption, racial nationalist rhetoric from the government, inept and poorly motivated security forces led by people who do not know what they are doing, and government policy that is unable to address any of these problems and more often than not exacerbates them…’.

[Audio] Examining the cause of public violence in South Africa.

13 July 2021 - Khaya Sithole from Power FM is in conversation with Gerbrandt van Heerden, research analyst at the Centre For Risk Analysis (CRA) about the contributing factors to public violence in South Africa.

[Opinion] Tourism sector counting on faster vaccine roll-out

South Africa’s slow vaccination rate risks permanently damaging one of the country’s few thriving economic sectors – the tourism industry.

[Opinion] Class inequality a growing concern in SA

There is growing evidence that the biggest issue facing South Africa is not racial inequality, but rather class and geographical inequality.

[Opinion] Budget bottom line: SA is living on borrowed time

Finance Minister Tito Mboweni and the government he serves are increasingly living on borrowed time. In the absence of growth-enhancing policy reforms and fiscal prudence, South Africa remains vulnerable to an external shock.

[Opinion] SA has more to worry about than Covid-19

The majority of South Africans are more concerned about unemployment and corruption than the COVID-19 pandemic.

[Audio] Differences in quality of life between rural and urban provinces

How do differences in the quality of life between urban and rural provinces affect migration, elections and independent movements in South Africa? Gerbrandt Van Heerden, research analyst at the Centre For Risk Analysis (CRA), speaks with Sara Gon on Chai FM’s IRR podcast series about the quality of life in South Africa and the implications of major inequalities between urban and rural provinces.

[Opinion] Where is the recovery?

[Opinion] SA no longer has a free economy

[News] Russia-Ukraine conflict could see steep fuel and food prices increases, SA economists warn

[Opinion] What South Africa could learn from California

[Opinion] Declining living standards: Pandemic or Policy?

[Podcast] Mediocre Leadership

[News] SA ‘at risk of becoming a failed state’ – due to these FIVE factors

[News] Economists decry interest rate increase: 'It’s always the poor who bear the brunt'

[Opinion] Sweeping school drop-out rates under the rug

[News] Newly-matriculated class face employment woes for the year ahead

[Opinion] Risks – and opportunities – for SA in 2022

[Opinion] Education in South Africa: No bang for our buck

[Opinion] ANC’s hegemony is over: a new era has begun

[Opinion] Numsa strike unjustified as rise in steel price will hit manufacturers

[Opinion] Upcoming local elections and democracy in South Africa

[Audio] Why there is no necessary reform

[Podcast] Risk and having a Plan B

[News] ‘Pink Vote’ an untapped market for SA political parties

[Opinion] The Economics Underpinning South Africa’s Riots

[Opinion] Foreign workers contribute to South Africa’s economy

[News] South Africa Seen Risking More Frequent Unrest Without Reforms

[Audio] State of Emergency for SA? (SAfm)

[News] #SAShutdown triggered by #ZumaArrest but not the reason

[Opinion] Violent anarchy: just what we’ve been warning SA to expect - Frans Cronje

[Audio] Examining the cause of public violence in South Africa.

[Opinion] Tourism sector counting on faster vaccine roll-out

[Opinion] Class inequality a growing concern in SA

[Opinion] Budget bottom line: SA is living on borrowed time

[Opinion] SA has more to worry about than Covid-19

[Audio] Differences in quality of life between rural and urban provinces

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